RabbitSuitRabbitSuit

The fund

Four model funds: one rule, four ways to hold it.

live record · simulated trades

The fund holds R* × NAV in Bitcoin, where R* is the dial: a number from 0 to 1 that the rules produce each day. The rest is parked in one other asset, re-picked monthly. The four model funds run the same dial and differ only in the instruments and the currency (USD or EUR, spot or ETF), so the rule can be watched in each form.

On top, a small options position buys convexity when the strategy calls for it: capped, paid for from the parked share, counted at cost in these values, and never changing the Bitcoin share.

It runs only our own money. There are no outside investors, no way to invest in it, and nothing on this site is investment advice. The approach: why Bitcoin, the claim, the rule →

How it is doing

live record · simulated trades

The funds' actual record since launch: starting at 100, with a cost charged on every simulated trade, so the curves are not friction-free. The faint line behind each is holding Bitcoin. The record is days old, not years: yearly figures stay blank until a fund is 90 days old. For a full cycle, see the 2012–2026 backtest of the same rules →

All four funds, side by side

fund1M3MYTDSICAGRmaxDDvolSharpeMAR
USD · spot+5.2%——+19.8%—-4.5%———
vs Bitcoin buy-and-hold+7.1%——+30.8%—-6.9%———
USD · ETF+5.4%——+19.5%—-4.7%———
vs Bitcoin buy-and-hold+7.5%——+30.5%—-7.1%———
EUR · spot+6.8%——+21.3%—-3.8%———
vs Bitcoin buy-and-hold+9.3%——+32.5%—-6.2%———
EUR · ETF+5.6%——+20.9%—-3.2%———
vs Bitcoin buy-and-hold+7.1%——+31.9%—-5.8%———

TWR windows, then the yearly columns. Each fund is paired with holding Bitcoin in the same currency. Sharpe uses cash as the risk-free line; the full comparison, cash row, turnover and cost drag included, is on each fund's own page.

Which instrument each fund uses for each leg

fundccyBitcoinworld stocksgoldNasdaq-100long Treasuriescashcost btc/park
USD · spotUSDBTCACWIGLDMQQQTLTSGOV25/5bp
USD · ETFUSDIBITACWIGLDMQQQTLTSGOV5/5bp
EUR · spotEURBTC-EURIUSQ4GLDSXRVIS04XEON25/10bp
EUR · ETFEURIB1TIUSQ4GLDSXRVIS04XEON10/10bp

Each simulated trade is charged a cost (spot venues and ETFs differ), so the values are not friction-free.

The backtest, for context

backtest · simulated

The evidence for the claim is the backtest, not the days-old live record. Simulated: no fund existed then and nothing was traded.

In the 2018–2026 backtest, the headline window: CAGR 88%, worst drawdown -29%, Sharpe 1.85, MAR 3.02. Explore the backtest → Includes the options position from Jul 3, 2020, when its price data begin.